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MATH 201 ELEMENTS of STATISTICS and PROBABILITY Monday Wednesday and Friday 9:30 to 10:25 AM Room E100 5 UNITS Instructor Larry Green Office Phone Number 541-4660 Extension 341 Internet
Required Text Understandable Statistics Eighth Edition by Brase/Brase Course Description This course will cover data analysis including probability, distributions, sampling, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, and nonparametric analysis. Course Objectives The successful student will
Prerequisite A grade of C or better in Math 154 or an equivalent class within the past two years, or a satisfactory score on the assessment test. Grading Policy Your letter grade will be based on your percentage of possible points. A 90 -- 100% C 70 -- 79% B 80 -- 89% D 60 -- 69% Homework: ..................................................100 points Midterm 1: October 13 .................................150 points Midterm II: November 1 ..............................150 point Midterm III: December 1 ............................. 150 points Project 1: September 29 .............................. 50 points Project 2: October 27 ................................... 50 points Project 3: November 13 ............................... 50 points Project 4: November 22 ................................50 Points
Final Exam: December 6 .......................... 250 points
Exam Policy Students are to bring calculators, pencils or pens, and paper to each exam. Grading will based on the progress towards the final answer, and the demonstration of understanding of the concept that is being tested, therefore, work must be shown in detail. Any student who cannot make it to an exam may elect to take the exam up to two days before the exam is scheduled. Without a proven medical excuse, a 10% per day penalty will be given for each day the exam is taken late. If all homework assignments are turned in for the quarter, and no more than three assignments are late, then the midterm with the lowest score will be dropped.
Homework Policy Homework is due either at the end of class or by 5:00 PM in my office. The use of computers or calculators is strongly recommended. Also, feel free to consult a fellow classmate, a tutor, your instructor, or anyone else for assistance on the homework. Homework that is turned in within one week of the due date will be counted as half credit. Homework may be turned later than one week after the due date, but points will not be awarded.
Daily Quizzes The first five minutes of each class, there will be a quiz that covers the main point from the previous lecture. Each quiz will count as 20% of the homework grade. Quizzes cannot be made up.
Extra Credit Any student who has turned in every homework assignment may elect to work on an extra credit assignment or project that will count as additional points towards either a midterm or the final. Extra credit assignments will be discussed on an individual basis during office hours.
Project Four projects will be created for this class. For Project 1, students will collect quantitative data and use a computer to display each of the charts discussed in class. For Project 2, students will conduct a survey and construct a confidence interval. For Project 3, students will test a hypothesis by conducting a survey or an experiment. For Project 4, students will perform a regression analysis that they collect. Each project will include the computer results and a narrative that describing data collection, assumptions made, background information, how the data was analyzed, and conclusions. Unless specifically stated, all results must be computed using a computer and the computer generated results must be included with the project. The projects should be typed, double spaced, and have 12 point font. Students may work on the projects in groups, but expectations will be higher for group projects.
OFFICE HOURS: Monday ............................ 11:30 to 12:30 A210 Tuesday.......................... 9:00 to 10:00 GMC Wednesday .................... 11:00 to 12:00 GMC Thursday........................ 12:00 to 1:00 A210 Friday........................ 8:30 to 9:30 A210 CALCULATORS: A calculator with built-in one and two variable statistics functions is required for this class. The TI-30X IIS is one such calculator that is inexpensive.
LEARNING DISABILITIES: If you have a learning disability, be sure to discuss your special needs with Larry. Learning disabilities will be accommodated. TUTORING: Tutors are available at no cost in G4 (The Gateway Math Center). A WORD ON HONESTY: Cheating or copying will not be tolerated. People who cheat dilute the honest effort of the rest of us. If you cheat on a quiz or exam you will receive an F for the course, not merely for the test. Other college disciplinary action including expulsion might occur. Please don’t cheat in this class. If you are having difficulty with the course, please see me.
HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENTS Lecture will always be geared towards an explanation of the topics that will be covered on the upcoming homework assignment. The quizzes shown are from last year. New quizzes will be given. Date Section Topic Exercises 9-18 Introductions Current Event 9-20
1.1 What is
Statistics?
2,5,7,8 9-22
1.3 Experimental Design
1,3,6 9-25 2.2
Histograms
2,5,14 9-27 3.1
Mode, Median, and Mean
3,7,16 10-2 4.1
Probability Quiz
5,7,8,11,15 10-4 4.2
Probability Rules
1,4,7,14,18,22,25 10-6 4.3
Trees and Counting
5,12,25,28 10-9 5.2
Binomial
Probabilities
4,1015,18 10-11 Midterm 1 Chapters 1,2,3,4, 5.1, 5.2 10-13 Return Midterm 1 Current Event 10-16 6.1
The Normal Distribution
2,9,10,14,15 10-18
6.3 Area Under a General Normal Curve
3,10,13,16,19,26,36,37 10-20
7.1 Sampling
Distributions
2,3,4 10-23 7.3
Distributions for Proportions
3,6,10,11 10-25 8.2
Estimating
m (s Unknown) 5,8,9,13 10-27 8.5
Two Sample
Differences
3,6,9,11,14 10-30
8.4 Choosing the Sample
Size
1,6,11,14,20 11-1 Midterm II Chapters 6,7,8 11-3 Return Midterm II Current Event: The Complex Relationship Between Dependency and Domestic Violence : Converging Psychological Factors and Social Forces in Pych Articles American Psychologist. Vol. 61(6) September 2006. pp. 595-606 11-6 9.1
Hypothesis
Testing
2,3,5,10,13 11-8 9.3
Hypothesis Tests for a
Proportion 1,4,7,11,14
Epirubicin and Cyclophosphamide, Methotrexate, and Fluorouracil as Adjuvant
Therapy for Early Breast Cancer
New England Journal of Medicine Volume 355:1851-1862 November 2, 2006 Number 18
11-13 9.5
Independent Samples
2,5,10,21,24
11-15 10.1
Paired Data and Scatter Plots
and Linear Regression 2,3,6,9,12,14
11-17 10.2 Correlation
1,6,11,14 (Handout) 11-20
11.1 Chi-Square
1,4,5,8,10 11-22 11.2 Goodness of Fit
1,4,7,10,12 11-24 10.3 Happy Thanksgiving Weekend
11-27 11.4
Comparing
Variances
1,4,7 11-29 11.6 Two Way ANOVA 1,3,4,6 (You may use a computer)Quiz 12-1 Midterm III Chapter 9, 10.1, 10.2, 10,3, 11.1, 11.2,11.4, 11.5, 11.6 12-6 Comprehensive Final Exam 10:00 - 11:50 (Note Time)
HOW TO SUCCEED IN A MATH CLASS
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