MATH 201

ELEMENTS of STATISTICS and PROBABILITY

Monday Wednesday and Friday 11:00 to 12:40 PM    Room E100           5 UNITS

Instructor Larry Green

Office Phone Number  541-4660 Extension 341

Internet

 

Text (Optional): Elementary Statistics Using the TI 83-84 Plus Calculator 3rd Edition by Mario Triola.

Required Software License :  It is required to have a software license to use the software MyStatLab in this class.  Students have two choices.  The first choice is to purchase the textbook new from the bookstore.  The textbook comes with the software license.  The second choice is to purchase the license alone either from the bookstore or online at coursecompass.com.  The license gives you access to the textbook online.  This is a more economical choice, but is only recommended to students who have online access and feel comfortable reading a computer screen instead of a traditional book.  If you purchase a used textbook, you will also need to purchase the software license.  The software license is valid as long as the student uses the same textbook.  When you first attempt to log on you will need to put in the following course ID:  green60706

Course Description This course will cover data analysis including probability, distributions, sampling, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, and nonparametric analysis.

Student Learning Outcomes

  1. Design and implement an unbiased study that will produce sound statistical results.
  2. Generate and interpret statistics graphs from data that arise from surveys and experiments.
  3. Implement the rules of probability.
  4. Apply confidence intervals and test hypotheses to make conclusions about data that come from practical applications.
  5. Perform regression analysis to make informed predictions about relationships between quantitative variables.
     

Prerequisite A grade of C or better in Math 154A or an equivalent class within the past two years, or a satisfactory score on the assessment test.

Grading Policy Your letter grade will be based on your percentage of possible points.

A 90 -- 100%         C 70 -- 79%

B 80 -- 89%            D 60 -- 69%

Homework (Online): ...............................................100 points

Quizzes (Online):  ...................................................100 points

Weekly Quizzes (In Class):  ..................................100 points

Exam 1:   January 26  ...............................................100 points

Exam II:   February 25  ...........................................100 points

Exam III:  March 18  ..............................................100 points

Project 1:  January 21  ............................................ 100 points

Project 2 March 7  ................................................ 100 points

Final Exam: March 23  ...........................................   200 points

 

Exam Policy Students are to bring calculators, pencils or pens, and paper to each exam. You may bring one 3" x 5" note card with writing on the front and back to each regular exam and two such note cards to the final exam.  If you have completed the week's assignment and online quiz with a 50% or higher at least 1/2 hour before the in class quiz, then you may bring a 3" x 5" note card to the quiz also.  Grading will based on the progress towards the final answer, and the demonstration of understanding of the concept that is being tested, therefore, work must be shown in detail. Any student who cannot make it to an exam may elect to take the exam up to two days before the exam is scheduled.  Without a proven medical excuse, a 10% per day penalty will be given for each day the exam is taken late.  If all homework and online quizzes are completed with a score of at least 50%, then the regular exam with the lowest score will be dropped. In class quizzes cannot be taken early or late unless you have a proven medical excuse.

Homework and Quiz Policy  Homework and quizzes will be worked out online.   Homework is due every Saturday night at midnight but you should complete it before the in class quiz.  Quizzes are due on Midnight on Sunday and also should be completed before the in class quiz.  Online quizzes may be taken many times (before midnight on Sunday) until you are satisfied with you score.  Homework and quizzes may be worked on after the after the due date, but points will not be awarded. To work on a homework assignment or a quiz after the due date, go to the item labeled "Late" in the list.  This can be especially helpful for review.  You may also go to your Study Plan to review.

Projects Two projects will be created for this class.  For Project 1, students will collect quantitative data and use a computer to display each of the charts discussed in class.  Click here for a video explanation of StatCrunch for Project 1.  For Project 2, students will conduct a survey and construct a confidence interval and perform a hypothesis test.  Click here for a video explanation of StatCrunch for Project 2.  Each project will include the computer results and a narrative describing data collection, assumptions made, background information, how the data was analyzed, and conclusions.  Unless specifically stated, all results must be computed using a computer and the computer generated results must be included with the project.  The projects should be typed, double spaced, and have 12 point font. Students are to work in pairs. If you cannot work with a partner, then speak to your instructor about the possibility of working as a trio.  A 5% penalty will be incurred on any student who cannot work with another student.   Rubric for the Project Grades.  Larry will be happy to look at a rough draft of your paper if you can bring or email it to him at least 24 hours before it is due.  After receiving feedback, you can ask more questions, but only one rough draft of the paper will be reviewed by Larry.



Office Hours:

Monday  ............................  1:00 to 2:00           MSC

Tuesday..........................      9:00 to 10:00         A210

Wednesday ....................      1:00 to 2:00           A210

Thursday........................       12:00 to 1:00         MSC

Friday........................            1:00 to 2:00            A210



CALCULATORS: The TI 83, TI 84+ is required for this course.  The TI 89 with the TI 83/84 downloaded or the TI nSpire will also work for this class.  There are a limited number of TI 84+ calculators available for rent for $10 at the Library.  If you do not yet have a calculator, the TI 84 will be easiest for you to use.

LEARNING DISABILITIES: If you have a learning disability, be sure to discuss your special needs with Larry.  Learning disabilities will be accommodated and you may contact our disability resource center by email or by phone at (530) 541-4660 x 384.

TUTORING:  Tutors are available at no cost in A 201 (The Math Success Center).

A WORD ON HONESTY:

Cheating or copying will not be tolerated. People who cheat dilute the honest effort of the rest of us.  If you cheat on a quiz or exam you will receive an F  for the course, not merely for the test.  Other college disciplinary action including expulsion might occur. Please don’t cheat in this class.  If you are having difficulty with the course, please contact me.

 



LECTURE AND EXAM SCHEDULE

       

Week 1    

January 3:        Introductions
                        1.1  Introduction to Statistics
                        1.2  Statistical Thinking
                        1.3:  Types of Data      
                        1.4:  Critical Thinking
                        PowerPoint in PDF

January 5:         1.5:  Collecting Sample Data
                        1.6:  Calculators and Statistics
                        2.1:  Review and Preview
                        2.2:  Frequency Distributions 
                        PowerPoint in PDF

January 7:        Quiz (1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, 1.5,1.6,2.1,2.2)
                        Recap and Preview
                        Survey Design Questions


Week 2

January 10:       2.3:  Histograms
                        2.4:  Statistical Graphics
                        2.5:  Critical Thinking:  Bad Graphs
                        PowerPoint in PDF

January 12:      3.1:  Review and Preview
                        3.2:  Measures of Center
                        3.3:  Measures of Variation
                        3.4:  Measures of Relative Standing and Boxplots
                        PowerPoint in PDF

January 14:      Quiz (2.3, 2.4, 2.5, 3.1, 3.2,3.3,3.4)
                        Recap and Preview


Week 3

January 17:  Happy Birthday Martin Luther King

 

January 19:   4.1:  Review and Preview
                    4.2:  Basic Concepts of Probability
                    4.3:  Addition Rule
                    PowerPoint in PDF

 

January 21:   Project 1 Due
                    4.4:  Multiplication Rules:  Basics
                    4.5:  Multiplication Rules:  Complements and Conditional Probability
                    PowerPoint in PDF
                  


Week 4

January 24:     4.6:  Probabilities Through Simulations                  
                      4.7:  Counting
                      PowerPoint in PDF
                      Review For Exam 1

January 26   Exam 1 (Chapters 1-4)

January 28:   5.1:  Review and Preview
                    5.2:  Random Variables
                    5.3:  Binomial Probability Distributions
                    5.4:  Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation for the Binomial Distribution
                    PowerPoint in PDF
 


Week 5

January 31:   6.1:  Review and Preview
                    6.2:  The Standard Normal Distribution
                    6.3:  Applications of Normal Distribution
                    PowerPoint in PDF
 

February 2:   6.4:  Sampling Distributions and Estimators
                     6.5:  The Central Limit Theorem
                     6.6:  Normal as Approximation to Binomial
                    PowerPoint in PDF

February 4:   Quiz (5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.4, 6.1, 6.2, 6.3, 6.4, 6.5,6.6)
                     Recap and Preview
                 


Week 6

February 7:     7.1:  Review and Preview
                      7.2:  Estimating a Population Proportion
                      PowerPoint in PDF

February 9:     7.3:  Estimating a Population Mean: s Known
                      7.4:  Estimating a Population Mean:  s Unknown
                      PowerPoint in PDF

February 11:   Quiz (7.1, 7.2, 7.3, 7.4)
                      Recap and Preview
                    


Week 7

February 14:   8.1:  Review and Preview
                       8.2:  Basics of Hypothesis Testing
                       8.3:  Testing a Claim About a Prop ortion
                      Power Point in PDF

February 16:   Snow Day College Closed

February 18:   Happy Birthday President Lincoln
                      


Week 8

February 21:  Happy Birthday President Washington

February 23:   Review for Exam 2

February 25:   Exam II:  (Chapters 5-8 excluding 8.4 and 8.5)


Week 9

February 28:   8.4:  Testing a Claim About a Mean:  s Known
                       8.5:  Testing a Claim About a Mean:  s Unknown
                       Power Point in PDF

March 2:         9.1:  Review and Preview
                       9.2:  Inferences About Two Proportions
                       9.3:  Inferences about Two Means:  Independent Samples
                       9.4:  Inferences from Dependent Samples  
                       PowerPoint in PDF
                       PowerPoint of Summary of CI and Hypothesis Tests

March 4:        Quiz (8.4, 8.5, 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4)
                      Recap on Hypothesis Testing


Week 10

March 7:         10.1:  Review and Preview
                       10.2:  Correlation
                       PowerPoint in PDF

March 9:        Project 2 Due
                       10.3:  Regression
                       10.4:  Variation and Prediction Intervals
                       PowerPoint in PDF

March 11:    Quiz (10.1, 10.2, 10.3, 10.4)
                    Recap on Regression Analysis


Week 11

March 14:     11.1:  Review and Preview
                     11.2:  Goodness of Fit
                     11.3:  Contingency Tables
                     PowerPoint in PDF
                     YouTube on How to Program the Goodness of Fit into the TI83

March 16:      Review
                      PowerPoint in PDF

March 18:      Exam 3 (8.4 and 8.5 and Chapters 9-11)


Week 12

March 23 ( 12:00 - 1:50 PM):  Final Exam  (Comprehensive)


HOW TO SUCCEED IN A MATH CLASS

  •  Come to every class meeting.
  •  Arrive early, get yourself settled, spend a few minutes looking at your notes from the previous class meeting, and have your materials ready when class starts.
  •  Read each section before it is discussed in class.
  •  Do some math every day.
  •  Start preparing for the tests at least a week in advance.
  •  Spend about half of your study time working with your classmates.
  •  Take advantage of tutors and office hours, extra help can make a big difference.