MATH 201

ELEMENTS of STATISTICS and PROBABILITY

Monday Wednesday and Friday  11:00 to 12:25 PM    Room G2 B           5 UNITS

Instructor Larry Green

Office Phone Number  541-4660 Extension 341

Internet

 

Required Text Understandable Statistics Seventh Edition  by Brase/Brase

Course Description This course will cover data analysis including probability, distributions, sampling, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, and nonparametric analysis.

Course Objectives  The successful student will

  1. exhibit a proficiency in the topics covered in the course;
  2. engage in logical and critical thinking;
  3. read technical information; and 
  4. demonstrate the solution to problems by translating written language into mathematical statements, interpreting information, sketching relevant diagrams, analyzing given information, formulating appropriate mathematical statements, and checking and verifying results

 

Prerequisite A grade of C or better in Math 154 or an equivalent class within the past two years, or a satisfactory score on the assessment test.

Grading Policy Your letter grade will be based on your percentage of possible points.

A 90 -- 100%         C 70 -- 79%

B 80 -- 89%            D 60 -- 69%

Homework: ..................................................100 points

Midterm 1: October 14 .................................150 points

Midterm 2: November 2   ..............................150 point

Midterm 3: December 2   ............................. 150 points 

Project 1: September 30   .............................. 50 points

Project 2:  October 28 ................................... 50 points

Project 3:  November 14 ............................... 50 points

Project 4:  November 23 ................................50 Points

 

Final Exam: December 5   ..........................   250 points

 

Exam Policy Students are to bring calculators, pencils or pens, and paper to each exam. Grading will based on the progress towards the final answer, and the demonstration of understanding of the concept that is being tested, therefore, work must be shown in detail. Any student who cannot make it to an exam may elect to take the exam up to two days before the exam is scheduled.  Without a proven medical excuse, a 10% per day penalty will be given for each day the exam is taken late.  If all homework assignments are turned in for the quarter, and no more than three assignments are late, then the midterm with the lowest score will be dropped.

 

Homework Policy  Homework is due either at the end of class or by 5:00 PM in my office.  The use of computers or calculators is strongly recommended. Also, feel free to consult a fellow classmate, a tutor, your instructor, or anyone else for assistance on the homework.   Homework that is turned in within one week of the due date will be counted as half credit. Homework may be turned later than one week after the due date, but points will not be awarded.

 

Daily Quizzes  The first five minutes of each class, there will be a quiz that covers the main point from the previous  lecture.  Each quiz will count as 20% of the homework grade.  Quizzes cannot be made up.

 

Extra Credit Any student who has turned in every homework assignment may elect to work on an extra credit assignment or project that will count as additional points towards either a midterm or the final.  Extra credit assignments will be discussed on an individual basis during office hours.

 

Project Four projects will be created for this class.  For Project 1, students will collect quantitative data and use a computer to display each of the charts discussed in class.  For Project 2, students will conduct a survey and construct a confidence interval.  For Project 3, students will test a hypothesis by conducting a survey or an experiment.  For Project 4, students will perform a regression analysis that they collect.  Each project will include the computer results and a narrative that describing data collection, assumptions made, background information, how the data was analyzed, and conclusions.  Unless specifically stated, all results must be computed using a computer and the computer generated results must be included with the project.  The projects should be typed, double spaced, and have 12 point font. Students may work on the projects in groups, but expectations will be higher for group projects.

 

Registration

1. You must register for this class at the Office of Admissions and Records.

2. You may drop the class with no penalty or mark on your record on or before Friday, October 14.

3. After October 14, you may drop the class and receive a grade of W until Friday, November 18.

4. After November 18, if you are enrolled, you will receive one of the following grades:  A,B,C,D,F or I (Incomplete, must be negotiated with the instructor and is only allowed in special cases).

In this class, it is your responsibility to drop the class in order to avoid an unwanted grade. You must go to the registrar by the above dates to avoid the unwanted grade.

 



OFFICE HOURS:

Monday  .............................  10:00 to 11:00 AM             A210

Tuesday  .............................  9:05 to 10:00 AM            GMC 

Wednesday .....................      9:30 to 10:35 AM            GMC

Thursday ........................       12:00 to 1:00  PM            A210

Friday  ..................................  10:00 to 11:00 AM            A210



CALCULATORS: A calculator with built-in one and two variable statistics functions is required for this class.  The TI-30X IIS is one such calculator that is inexpensive. 

LEARNING DISABILITIES: If you have a learning disability, be sure to discuss your special needs with Larry.  Learning disabilities will be accommodated.

TUTORING:  Tutors are available at no cost in G4 (The Gateway Math Center).  



HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENTS

Lecture will always be geared towards an explanation of the topics that will be covered on the upcoming homework assignment.  The quizzes shown are from last year.  New quizzes will be given.

Date    Section  Topic                                                       Exercises

9-19         Introductions     Current Event

9-21      1.1       What is Statistics?                                       2,5,7,8
            1.2         Random Samples                                       1,9,10,15
            Current Event  Quiz

9-23      1.3        Experimental Design                                    1,3,6
            2.1         Bar, Circle, and Time Plots                           1,7,11
            Random Number Applet Quiz  Current Event


9-26     2.2         Histograms                                                   2,5,14
             2.3        Stem and Leaf                                               2,9,12
            Current Event  Quiz

9-28     3.1        Mode, Median, and Mean                             3,7,16
            3.2
        Measures of Variation                                    2,5,16
                        Current Event Quiz


9-30     3.3        m and s for Grouped Data                             2,6,11
            3.4        Percentiles and Boxes                                    3,8,11,15
                   Applet to Find Statistics From Grouped Data  Quiz   Project 1 Due


10-3        4.1         Probability   Quiz                                                  5,7,8,11,15

10-5       4.2         Probability Rules                                            1,4,7,14,18,22,25
                    Quiz  Current Event

10-7       4.3         Trees and Counting                                        5,12,25,28
              5.1
          Random Variables and Distributions               1,6,14
                    Quiz Current Event


10-10        5.2          Binomial Probabilities                                     4,1015,18
                    Quiz  Current Event

10-12     Midterm 1        Chapters 1,2,3,4, 5.1, 5.2

10-14      Return Midterm 1


10-17      6.1        The Normal Distribution                                  2,9,10,14,15
               6.2         Area Under the Standard Normal Curve          1,4,7,33,40
        Current Event  Quiz

10-19       6.3         Area Under a General Normal Curve                  3,10,13,16,19,26,36,37
               6.4
         Binomial and Normal Distributions                       1,4,9,12,15
             Current Event    Quiz Cards

10-21    7.1        Sampling Distributions                                           2,3,4
             7.2
         The Central Limit Theorem                                   5,8,13,16
            Quiz       Current Event


10-24    7.3         Distributions for Proportions                                3,6,10,11
             8.1         Estimating m (s Known)                                      2,5,7,11
                Quiz    Current Event

10-26    8.2          Estimating m (s Unknown)                                5,8,9,13
             8.3
          Estimating p                                                       1,6,9,12,17
               
Quiz    Current Event

10-28     8.5        Two Sample Differences                                     3,6,9,11,14
               
Quiz  Current Event Project 2 Due


10-31     8.4         Choosing the Sample Size                                    1,6,11,14,20
                   
Quiz   Current Event

11-2     Midterm II         Chapters 6,7,8

11-4       Return Midterm II Current Event 


11-7     9.1        Hypothesis Testing                                              2,3,5,10,13
   
         9.2        Hypothesis Tests For m                                      1,4,7,11,18
                Quiz    Current Event
 

11-9    9.3          Hypothesis Tests for a Proportion                     1,4,7,11,14
           9.4          Tests with Paired Differences                            1,4,8,11,14
                        
Quiz   Current Event  Hints for Hypothesis Testing

11-11   Happy Veteran's Day


11-14      9.5          Independent Samples                                               2,5,10,21,24
                        Quiz    Current Event  Current Event Data Project 3 Due

11-16    10.1        Paired Data and Scatter Plots and Linear Regression   2,3,6,9,12,14
            
           Quiz   Current Event       Data     

11-18    10.2      Correlation                                                                   1,6,11,14 (Handout)
             10.3     Inferences for Correlation                                                3,4,6
                        Quiz    Current Event


11-21     11.1          Chi-Square                                                        1,4,5,8,10
               Quiz       Current Event

11-23     11.2        Goodness of Fit                                              1,4,7,10,12
                Quiz   Current Event  Project 4 Due

11-25   10.3       Happy Thanksgiving Weekend

 


11-28    11.4     Comparing Variances                                        1,4,7       
              11.5     One Way ANOVA                                          1,6,7 Do not do part (b), use a computer for the rest.
Quiz  Current Event  Knee-Joint Position Sense

11-30     11.6     Two Way ANOVA                                         1,3,4,6 (You may use a computer)Quiz

12-2    Midterm III        Chapter 9, 10.1, 10.2, 10,3, 11.1, 11.2,11.4, 11.5, 11.6


12-5   Comprehensive Final Exam 10:00 - 11:50  (Note Time)

 



HOW TO SUCCEED IN A MATH CLASS

  •  Come to every class meeting.
  •  Arrive early, get yourself settled, spend a few minutes looking at your notes from the previous class meeting, and have your materials ready when class starts.
  •  Read each section before it is discussed in class.
  •  Do some math every day.
  •  Start preparing for the tests at least a week in advance.
  •  Spend about half of your study time working with your classmates.
  •  Take advantage of tutors and office hours, extra help can make a big difference.