MATH 201

ELEMENTS of STATISTICS and PROBABILITY

Monday and Wednesday 6:00 to 8:25 PM

Room E 106 5 UNITS

Instructor Larry Green

Phone Numbers

Office: 541-4660 Extension 341

Home: 544-5486 (Not after 10:00 PM)

Internet

e-mail:...greenl@ltcc.edu

WWW: http://www.ltcc.edu/programs/math

Required Text Introductory Statistics second edition

by Jay Devore / Roxy Peck


Course description This course will cover analysis of data including

probability, distributions, sampling, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, and ANOVA.

Prerequisite A grade of C or better in Math 154 or an equivalent class within the past two years, or a satisfactory

score on the assessment test.


Grading Policy Your letter grade will be based on your percentage of possible points.

A 90 -- 100% C 70 -- 79%

B 80 -- 89% D 60 -- 69%

Homework: ...........................................100 points

Midterm 1: Oct 13 ................................150 points

Midterm 2: Nov 3 ................................150 points

Midterm 3: Nov 24 ...............................150 points

Project: Nov 26 ..............................150 points

Final Exam: Dec. 8, 6:00 to 7:50 PM......300 points


Exam Policy Students are to bring calculators, pencils or pens, and paper to each exam. A one page (standard size) front and back formula sheet may be used during each midterm, and a two page formula sheet may be used during the final exam. Grading will based on the progress towards the final answer, and the demonstration of understanding of the concept that is being tested, therefore, work must be shown in detail. Any student who cannot make it to an exam may elect to take the exam up to two days before the exam is scheduled. If all homework assignments

are turned in for the quarter, and no more than three assignments are late, then the midterm with the lowest score will be dropped.

Homework Policy The use of computers or calculators is

strongly recommended. Also feel free to consult a fellow classmate, a tutor, your instructor, or anyone else for assistance on the homework. Homework will be turned in at the end of class on the date due. If a student has additional questions, that student may see me after class in my office and then turn in the homework by 5:00 PM on the date due. Homework that is turned in within one week of the due date will be counted as half credit. Homework may be turned later than one week after the due date, but points will not be awarded.

Extra Credit Any student who has turned in every homework assignment may elect to work on an extra credit assignment or project that will count as additional points towards either a midterm or the final.

Project Each student in the class will develop a hypothesis

that one quantity is larger or differs from another. A group of several students will individually collect data to test the hypothesis. A report will be turned in that discusses the results of the test, the method of the test, and the validity of the test. More details will be given in class.


Registration 1. You must register for this class at the Office of Admissions and Records.

2. You may drop the class with no mark on

your record on or before

Friday, October 17.

3. After October 17, you may drop the class and receive a grade of W until

Friday, November 21.

4. After November 21, if you are enrolled, you will receive one of the following grades:

A, B, C, D, F or

I (Incomplete, must be negotiated with the instructor and is only allowed in special cases).

In this class, it is your responsibility to drop the class in order to avoid an unwanted grade. You must go to the registrar by the above dates to avoid the unwanted grade.


OFFICE HOURS:

Room A210

Monday, Wednesday & Friday.....................11:00 to 12:00 AM

Tuesday & Thursday............................1:00 to 2:00 PM


CALCULATORS: A calculator with square root capability is required,

although one with built-in statistics functions will prove useful.


HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENTS AND EXAMS

Lecture will always be geared towards an explanation of the topics that will be covered on the upcoming homework assignment.

9-24

1.1 Reasons For Statistics Read Only

1.2 Sampling and Experimentation 2,3,6

1.3 Population Samples and Statistics 8,11,13

2.1 Data Types 1,4

2.2 Stem and Leaf Displays 5,8,11

9-29

2.3 Frequency Distributions 14,17,20,26

2.4 Histograms 28,33,40

2.5 Interpret Read Only

3.1 Mean, Median, & Proportion 1,4,6,11

3.2 Variance & Standard Deviation 14,17,20

10-1

3.3 Data Summary 28,33,41

3.4 Interpretations Read Only

4.1 Experiments & Events 1,6,9

4.2 Probability 11,15,18

4.3 Conditional Prob. & Independence 27,28,33

10-6

4.4 Addition & Multiplication Rules 43,47

5.1 Random Variables 1,5,6

5.2 Probability Distributions 8,15,16

5.3 Mean & Standard Deviation 20,27,30

10-8

6.1 Continuous Probability Distributions 1,2,6

6.2 The Normal Distribution 9,11,14,17,18,25,27

10-13

7.1 Statistics & Random Samples 2,3,5

7.2 A Sampling Experiment 14,17

7.3 Sample Mean Distribution 18,23,24

7.4 Sample Proportion's Distribution 30,33,35

Midterm I

10-15

8.1 Point Estimation 1,2,3,8

8.2 Confidence Intervals 12,15,18,23,25,26

10-20

8.3 Confidence Intervals For Proportions 30,31,34,37,41

8.4 Small Sample Confidence Intervals 43,45,48,51

8.5 Interpretations Read Only

10-22

9.1 Hypothesis Testing 1,2,4,5,7

9.2 Errors In Hypothesis Testing 9,10,11,13,14,15

10-27

9.3 Hypothesis Testing For a Pop. Mean 16,23,24,27,30

9.4 p-Values 34,37,40,42,43

10-29

9.5 Hypothesis Test For a Proportion 45,47,48,54,55

9.6 Small Sample Hypothesis Testing 56,60,61,64,67

9.7 Interpretations Read Only

11-3

10.1 Difference Between Pop. Means 1,2,4,7,8,9,11,13,16

Midterm II

11-5

10.2 Small Sample Diff. Between Means 19,21,24,25,27,30,31

11-12

10.3 Paired Data 33,36,38,39,41,42

10.4 Two Population Proportions 44,47,48,51,52,54

10.5 Interpretations Read Only

11-17

11.1 Scatter Plots 1,2,3,7

11.2 Regression Lines 8,9,11,13,14,15

11-19 11.3 Assessing the Fit 16,19,20,21

11.4 Correlation 24,25,26,28,35

11-24

11.5 Interpretations Read Only

12.1 Linear Regression 1,5,9,11,12

Midterm III

11-26

12.2 Inferences On Slope 16,18,21,24,26

Project Due

12-1

12.3 Inferences On Prediction 28,35,36

12.4 Inferences On r 43,44,45

12.5 Interpretations Read Only

13.1 ANOVA 3,8,9

12-3

14.1 Chi-Square 2,4,5,7,9

14.2 2 Way Tables 10,15,18,19,20

14.3 Interpretations Read Only


HOW TO SUCCEED IN A MATH CLASS

1) Come to every class meeting.

2) Arrive early, get yourself settled, spend a few minutes looking at your notes from the

previous class meeting, and have you materials ready when class starts.

3) Read each section before it is discussed in class

4) Do some math every day.

5) Start preparing for the tests at least a week in advance.

6) Spend about half of your study time working with your classmates.

7) Take advantage of tutors and office hours, extra help can make a big difference.